Richard Wyckoff logic not working, this maybe why? PART 2

Richard Wyckoff logic has rules, some folks like the short cuts, hence they wonder why their trade ends in a mess.


Previous Post: Richard Wyckoff logic not working, this maybe why? PART 1


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A shooting higher US Dollar allows Gold to base

Those holding foreign US Dollar debt can not survive a higher $USD, the higher the $USD (DXY) goes the closer the burning fuse gets to the explosive.


This is why, when $USD breaks out into price new ground, gold forms a base (sideways) as it allows traders to accumulate position for the very likely $USD reversal. The $USD ying has a GOLD yang!

The professionals do all they can to bust the weak hand gold traders. Do not let that be you!

There is a reason the gold stocks (NEM, ABX, PAAS) are holding their ground very well, ok I tell you, it is because there is another move higher coming, sure it may be 6 months or even 12 months away, but it is coming.

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Date Found: Monday, 13 June 2016, 03:30:01 AM

Comment: Bill Gross - Smart Investors Know There's Something Wrong youtu.be/TvFWv3qlAQk

Date Found: Tuesday, 14 June 2016, 02:22:37 PM

Comment: Buy backs in the SP500 are drying up!

Date Found: Tuesday, 14 June 2016, 02:38:44 PM

Comment: Deutsche Bank AG (DB) below $15 ....boom!

Date Found: Tuesday, 14 June 2016, 02:40:16 PM

Comment: $5,000 per oz Gold in Coming Bubble! - Resource Investment Expert Marin ...www.youtube.com/...

Date Found: Wednesday, 15 June 2016, 03:12:21 PM

Comment: Real reason China building islands in South China Sea - clip from 'China... RTT: Carrier groups matter no more, 10 crusie missles can destory it easy, carries was WW2 technology! youtu.be/baF9S7YOIEw

Date Found: Wednesday, 15 June 2016, 08:30:33 PM

Comment: The new 'stupid' normal. Until the easy money cycle pops!

Date Found: Sunday, 19 June 2016, 03:12:22 PM

Comment: Selected European Banks Whatever the outcome of the Brexit referendum next week, it would appear that nothing can stop a systemic crisis developing in Europe. The two issues are unrelated, though Brexit could be blamed as a trigger. Brexit will come and go, but a European banking failure will remain with us, whatever happens on June 23rd.

Date Found: Sunday, 26 June 2016, 04:47:20 AM

Comment: Dr Paul Craig Roberts: BREXIT, WHAT NEXT ? youtu.be/agF28illdQQ

Date Found: Sunday, 26 June 2016, 04:48:14 AM

Comment: Boom, Bust, Rinse & Repeat: Predicting The Global Economy, by Raoul Pal youtu.be/SDoIbFuKgfU

Date Found: Sunday, 26 June 2016, 05:05:48 AM

Comment: The ITV #Brexit "Debate"- David Cameron & Nigel Farage on the EU Referendum youtu.be/baCwRZ7Fbvc

Date Found: Monday, 27 June 2016, 07:13:03 PM

Comment: Yes Minister — Why Britain Joined the European Union youtu.be/37iHSwA1SwE

Date Found: Tuesday, 28 June 2016, 04:47:30 AM

Comment: Japan's long yields on the road to zero. 40-year falls to record 0.08%, some 80% of JGB market is now sub-zero!

Date Found: Tuesday, 28 June 2016, 04:48:15 PM

Comment: Say what! Holy cow batman!

Date Found: Wednesday, 29 June 2016, 04:17:21 AM

Comment: Peter Schiff-Huge Crisis-Gold Will Routinely Be Moving Up at $100 Clips youtu.be/JjLN5-2uQjk

Date Found: Thursday, 30 June 2016, 11:33:35 PM

Comment: 10 to 1 volume days

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Gold Charts

All early trend break out get a test, and when that happens we just have to wait for the results.


CAUTION: Charts below are gold in USD.

If the test fails, well that could be another story. One could suspect a move higher in early 2017.

Channel challenge...

SMA SQUEEZE...

Cycle bottom

In short, charts may help with timing but they dont matter when you know that there are several TRILLION DOLLAR debt bombs around the world that could blow up at any time. If gold falls below $1000 USD then that is a life time BUY, and a steal.

A few trillion dollar debt bombs that the Central bankers would struggle with:
- Emerging market debt (inc China)
- US Student and car loan debt
- Derivatives (interest rate swaps)
- Corporate credit
- Europe Bond market
- US Treasury Bond market
- Japans bond market










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RTT Chart Review 1 - Swing Ideas

Look at a couple of stocks waiting to move out of their pullback.


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Dow Jones Gann Angle Update

When the Dow Jones moves the media must have an explanation for it. However the insiders have the nod to what is going on.


The media story so far is that since the TRUMP win, managers have been rotating their portfolios to represent TRUMP trends (lower taxes, go easy on the 'too big to fail' Wall Street banks, more jobs for Americans). Prior the election the stock market was set up for a HILLARY win, due to more of the same, status quo, FED support. But....

Using Richard Ney logic, the short answer is, stocks were always going up and the election results do not matter nor would a higher 10 yr bond or lackluster fundamentals. The real story is the market makers have been accumulating stocking inventory for a year, and they must mark up prices to sell their inventory at a higher level to the uniformed (public) to secure profits. Positive stories are fed to the media to promote the move as acceptable. POINT: Stock market moves are sourced from the inventory demands of the most advanced professionals.

The Dow Jones chart below shows the CAUSE and EFFECT in play, Dow 20,000 or 21,000 will soon to be in the media headlines.

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US 30 yr yield, your best defence is?

It is said that a rising stock market with rising interest rates is healthy ! Then why are there massive shipments of 'Adult Diapers' to Wallstreet (joke) ?


The cost of money ($USD) is changing
- Share buy backs will cost more
- Mortgage rates will rise
- Dividends will have to match this
- US Govt interest bill increasing
- 'Deals' just cost more more more!

Short Answer: This is not good.

Remember the FED QE tends to see interest rates rise...so that wont help! Maybe Janet Yellen will say 'We will do what it takes to save the dollar, and it will be enough!'

Are you ready for the next crisis? Take your pick!

 

Disclosure: Got both!



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