Glencore showing some strength

Much has been written on the negative side about Glencore. But the stock chart tells a different story. Something has changed!


Yes the web has negative stories of Glencore derivative, CDS and copper bear market issues, true, but why are money manager buying it? Is it the distress asset play? Is it pure short covering? Who knows! This stock is one to watch. A break out to new ground will confirm strength, any pullbacks should be considered from the long side. Of if it is short covering then supply will surely have another go at pushing this stock down to all time low support.

Wyckoff terms
SC = Selling Climax
AR = Auto reaction
ST = Secondary test
SOS = Sign of Strength, ? is to be confirmed.

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Best low stress stock winner over 15 years

Who cares about 20% pullbacks, who cares about recessions, well not this stock!


The Stock : MacDonald's (MCD)

A great performer, WOW! Selling high carb and sugar burgers to the masses is a real winner. However with Price to Sales at 4.2 it should not attract new money. In fact profit taking should be considered.

Look at the low volatility of MCD versus the NYSE Index, this stock should be considered when the wider stock market sinks greater than 20%.

Wyckoff investors love fantastic relative strength and MCD is a winner here. One to watch if 2016/17 is a bad year for stocks. And they even pay a dividend!

The Chart ...

From Yahoo

Valuation Measures

Market Cap (intraday)5:	106.39B
Enterprise Value (Feb 24, 2016)3:	122.88B
Trailing P/E (ttm, intraday):	24.16
Forward P/E (fye Dec 31, 2017)1:	19.29
PEG Ratio (5 yr expected)1:	2.30
Price/Sales (ttm):	4.22
Price/Book (mrq):	12.92
Enterprise Value/Revenue (ttm)3:	4.84
Enterprise Value/EBITDA (ttm)6:	13.79

Top Institutional Holders

Holder	Shares	% Out	Value*	Reported
Vanguard Group, Inc. (The)	55,214,277	6.01	6,523,014,629	Dec 31, 2015
State Street Corporation	44,446,859	4.84	5,250,951,877	Dec 31, 2015
Capital World Investors	30,881,418	3.36	3,648,330,691	Dec 31, 2015
BlackRock Institutional Trust Company, N.A.	24,713,706	2.69	2,919,677,202	Dec 31, 2015
Bank of America Corporation	17,755,749	1.93	2,097,664,169	Dec 31, 2015
BlackRock Fund Advisors	16,792,490	1.83	1,983,864,751	Dec 31, 2015
Wellington Management Company, LLP	16,625,667	1.81	1,964,156,282	Dec 31, 2015
Bank of New York Mellon Corporation	16,394,515	1.79	1,936,847,985	Dec 31, 2015
FMR, LLC	15,956,460	1.74	1,885,096,168	Dec 31, 2015
Northern Trust Corporation	12,869,997	1.40	1,520,461,432	Dec 31, 2015

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Power of Mean Reversion with the Aussie ASX

Many use this method of price estimation for the long and short term price targets.


Previous post: Australia to enter a very sad period

The site would bet that that Charles Nenner use a similar formula to make the Dow 5000 call. As you can see statistically it is a very accurate formula.

A reminder of the AORD as at 2013.

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Power of Mean Reversion

The power of reverting to the mean. Life time buys, or miserable bust! The rubber band does smack back eventually!


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SP500 Gann Angle Update

Gann Angles and Cycles guide the market like road signs! Read the Mark Twain quote in the image, are you one of the fooled and still holding your FANG (Facebook,Apple, NetFlix and Google) portfolio!


Here is the latest view.

Gann Angles

Hurst and Fixed (Kitchin Cycles)

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Value Investing with help from Wyckoff Logic

Buying something at good value is a good approach, however it is another approach to know when to enter and exit the market, enter Wyckoff logic.
If You 'know nothing' of Wyckoff logic is a good time to start.

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