Tuesday 22 December 2020

RTT browsing latest..

Please review a collection of WWW browsing results.
image1 The information here is delayed by a few months, members get the most recent content.



Date Found: Friday, 03 July 2020, 07:35:48 PM



Comment: What sent gold soaring in the 1970s was negative real rates. Chart plotted with rolling averages to smooth out the wild swings but the data paints a clear picture.



Date Found: Friday, 03 July 2020, 10:29:10 PM



Comment: DAVID HUNTER, CONTRARIAN: S&P 500 GOING TO 1,000, GOLD $2,300 - SILVER $35! youtu.be/BjXxrE0UGlg



Date Found: Saturday, 04 July 2020, 01:39:22 AM



Comment: WTF is Going on in the Markets? With Raoul Pal, Caitlin Long & Travis Kling youtu.be/G5AJhk6GwH8



Date Found: Saturday, 04 July 2020, 10:40:00 PM



Comment: COVID19 not good for EPS, as the E is crashing.. fix..offset crashing earnings with even faster crashing Number of Shares Outstanding.. then EPS gains .. that works ..PE and EPS are a joke!



Date Found: Sunday, 05 July 2020, 12:03:43 AM



Comment: Not another risk on asset pump!



Date Found: Sunday, 05 July 2020, 09:40:31 PM



Comment: Strong USD .. not good for gold or risk on assets



Date Found: Monday, 06 July 2020, 03:31:00 AM



Comment: Mike Novogratz and Raoul Pal on 'the Single Greatest Brand' Bitcoin youtu.be/exE0QjHtNT4



Date Found: Tuesday, 07 July 2020, 05:26:06 PM



Comment: Gary Shilling - Recovery problem.. maybe is a 'L'



Date Found: Tuesday, 07 July 2020, 06:59:42 PM



Comment: FUNDAMENTALS ... do they matter? Watch this space!



Date Found: Tuesday, 07 July 2020, 09:08:56 PM



Comment: Easy bet this year - THIS WILL END!



Date Found: Thursday, 09 July 2020, 05:25:44 PM



Comment: Interesting...



Date Found: Thursday, 09 July 2020, 07:06:42 PM



Comment: Lyn Alden: US Fiscal Policy Reactions are Creating Best Case Scenario for gold youtu.be/_2lee_xXCMw



Date Found: Thursday, 09 July 2020, 10:59:45 PM



Comment: Only at the peak of the Dotcom Mania and the bottom of the Great Financial Crisis have we seen the Nasdaq 100 outperform the Bank Index by such an extreme degree as it has over the past six months



Date Found: Friday, 10 July 2020, 03:55:01 AM



Comment: Jason Burack (Fed Audit, Bank Derivatives TIMEBOMB, China Secrets Reveal... youtu.be/nUBGWW3h4fw



Date Found: Friday, 10 July 2020, 05:51:38 PM



Comment: @Halsrethink World trade contraction continues along with global economic activity downturn &, yes, return to pre-virus level multi-year process. But this time recovery likely slower than from GFC slump--maybe even no return to 2019 level as global supply chain shortening prevails



Original Post: https://ift.tt/2WECzQs

Tuesday 15 December 2020

US Dollar Weakness Precedes Equity Weakness

Wait what! Well, why would foreign capital run into a falling currency!
image1

We have always heard that a falling US dollar helps growth.

But if Foreigners want to buy US assets they also do not want to lose on the currency. 

If a US equity market is high and the US dollar depreciates then so does the foreign investment in US assets.

Money likes appreciation in equity and currency value, if one falters, it will leave. 

If the US Dollar falls into the 80s (on the DXY) the SELL button for stocks will be near.


Watching ....

NOTE: The 2004-2006 time period (??) was the US Housing boom which plugged a few holes while foreign capital did not run to the USA.


USD



Original Post: https://ift.tt/2LwYWVK

Wednesday 2 December 2020

Gold Chart Review

Gold swing trade is due, lets review some charts to see if it is a viable move.
image1

The seasonal period of gold is now upon us, gold should advance for the next 3 months.


Gold Gann Angle Chart ...


GLD1






Gold Channel Chart .. close up!



GLD2




Gold Channel Chart


GLD3



Original Post: https://ift.tt/2JrSlew

Tuesday 24 November 2020

RTT browsing latest..

Please review a collection of WWW browsing results.
image1 The information here is delayed by a few months, members get the most recent content.



Date Found: Friday, 12 June 2020, 08:06:43 PM



Comment: Interesting (2)



Date Found: Saturday, 13 June 2020, 12:27:02 AM



Comment: Recession Forecasts Time Frame



Date Found: Monday, 15 June 2020, 11:07:52 PM



Comment: FED money helping data collection stocks (Facebook, Apple,Netflix,Google)



Date Found: Wednesday, 17 June 2020, 10:59:05 PM



Comment: This bond spread says get of stocks NOW!



Date Found: Saturday, 20 June 2020, 08:51:44 PM



Comment: Add . FED buying corporate bonds (JNK,HYG,LQD)..



Date Found: Monday, 22 June 2020, 06:35:50 PM



Comment: Gold following 5 yr Real Yield!



Date Found: Monday, 22 June 2020, 11:35:40 PM



Comment: Real yield again!



Date Found: Wednesday, 24 June 2020, 10:33:20 PM



Comment: Screen-Shot-2020-06-24-at-12.10.52-PM-1024x742



Date Found: Thursday, 25 June 2020, 04:41:14 AM



Comment: ha ha that is low .. $20T, or $40T



Date Found: Friday, 26 June 2020, 10:42:53 PM



Comment: $3,000 gold price no longer target; it’s now $10,000 when Fed's assets crash youtube.com/watch?v=eASLNfftJbg



Date Found: Sunday, 28 June 2020, 12:47:34 AM



Comment: How Enhanced Privacy and Scalability Will Make "Litecoin 2.0" youtu.be/KvukMrDwDIM



Date Found: Sunday, 28 June 2020, 01:15:14 AM



Comment: Add FED balance sheet then you have the difference!



Date Found: Tuesday, 30 June 2020, 04:22:56 AM



Comment: USD will follow GBP devaluation cycle, to avoid deflation (recessions). See the drops post WW1, WW2, 73,82,02,09 (all massive debt peaks)



Date Found: Friday, 03 July 2020, 02:23:29 AM



Comment: Yip 60% correction coming!



Date Found: Friday, 03 July 2020, 07:05:26 PM



Comment: The FED will repeat War Time Finance (Yield Curve Control) to inflate away the debt.. good for gold!



Original Post: https://ift.tt/3fv1nDb

Monday 23 November 2020

Bitcoin Chart Review

Bitcoin is testing its old all time high.
image1 Bitcoin is not alone as it is at the same party of all risk on trends. Abundant end of year liquidity, add the relief of finishing US elections will see the end of the buyers strike and gains should continue (just like 2016).

Bitcoin is on fourth types of charts held within readtheticker.com, each chart answers different questions.

Charts ...

Cycle charts shows off price and time cycles, with forecasts.


BTC1




Long term channels, with time and price targets.


BTC2





Gann Angle chart.


BTC3





Wyckoff Accumulation chart


BTC4




Original Post: https://ift.tt/2UUMDEf

Tuesday 17 November 2020

Inflation Deflation Cycle Review

Structural change forces the current narrative to change. One such structural change would be a period elevated inflation.
image1

Inflation is a condition which effects many economic models, we only have to review the history books of the 1970's to see how asset classes reacted then and how they may react in the future. 

In periods of inflation there are short periods of deflation, as markets adjust from one theme to another it usually does so with some pain. The short answer: Nothing moves in a straight line and high volatility will shock the most experience investor.  

Long term cycles raise the question, if happened before is it likely to happen again. Price does not always fit the sine wave cycle neatly, but if the cycle is true price will correct to the cycle swing. 

Some cycle to be aware of ... be aware of the different time frames. 


Inflation

CPI





CRB Index


CRB cycle




Oil Cycle

OIL




US Dollar Cycle



USD




SP500 Cycle


USD




Original Post: https://ift.tt/3pACtGR

Monday 9 November 2020

US Dollar weakness promotes Bitcoin

The US election chaos continues and if Washington can not stimulate the market the ball bounces into the FED court, but in the end it is all about the US dollar.
image1

The euro currency (EURUSD) represents money flowing between European and US Banks. European banks have had a rough time lately, and when they suffer monies flow in to US Banks, thus adding to US dollar strength.

The ETF for European bank stocks is iShares MSCI Europe Financials (EUFN). The chart below shows the EUFN upside down (inverted) compared to the US Dollar (DXY) index, and you can see important pivot points sync between the two (blue arrows). When European banks get a vote of confidence the US dollar is softer, when the European banks lose confidence the US dollar gains strength. 

At the moment EUFN is rising (or with our inverted EUFN chart it is falling), European banks are improving, hence this suggest weakness for the US dollar into Xmas. Just in time for a risk off Xmas rally.


EUFN



A lower US dollar suggest anti US dollar trades will do well, and the biggest anti US dollar trade in the news at the moment is bitcoin (BTC). We see a nice pattern of accumulation followed by advancing price action into upper resistance, no doubt all time high prices are near.


BTC 1





Below is the Gann Angle and T Theory review of Bitcoin. Late December 2020 to mid January 2021 should see price top out near $20,000 resistance, and most likely build a consolidation pattern as we must expect supply to arrive at resistance and then finally to break out into all time highs. 


BTC 2




There is some discussion of T Theory on bitcoin in this video.






Original Post: https://ift.tt/3na7C1M