Thursday, 30 January 2025

Gold warning signal just fired

Gold knows something is up, or in other terms the bankers who have been buying tonnes of gold do.
image1


WARNING SIGNAL SUMMARY LIST
When ever the blue line crosses the magenta line some sort of crisis is known.
This means GOLD YOY% change is out pacing COPPER YOY%.

1990 - Oil price shock, Iraq invasion of Kuwait (Recession)
1993 - Mexico / Orange County
1996 - Asian crisis
1998 - Russia/LTCM
2002 - Enron, DotCom bust (Recession)
2008 - Housing bubble burts, Enron (Recession)
2012 - US Credit down grade
2017 - Corp Credit Bust
2020 - COVID shock
2025 - ?


What could it be in 2025/26 ?

If you read this article by Lyn Alden then you probably need not go any further. Full Steam Ahead: All Aboard Fiscal Dominance.

During the 2025 calendar year the USA must refinance approx $13T of existing debt at rates at least twice as high as is currently set. 

So ... money printing is near!


Gold



Original Post: https://ift.tt/HSJcjlQ

Saturday, 4 January 2025

Dow Jones Long Cycle Review

The big cycle of the Dow is still working, and it should be a good year in 2025.
image1

Chart 1 - The 100 plus year of the Dow Jones Industrial's.

Note: Draw with readtheticker.com cycle software.


Dow jones cycle





Chart 2 - A close up of the above cycle since 2009, and its working quite well. The Dow will most likely creep along the upper blue line to +50,000.



Dow jones cycle 2





Chart 3 - 2025 is also the post election cycle year. President Trump will need to make good on promises to go into the midterms, so you can bet he wants a happy time for his first year (of his second term). 


Cycle





Chart 4 - Bitcoin cycle looks strong into 2025. Bitcoin is a global liquidity measure and it looks bullish as we all know the USA needs to refinance 33% of its debt in 2025 (about $13T). To to do this the world needs to be flooded with US dollar liquidity. They will do what ever it takes to refinance, otherwise the $USD will soar and risk on assets will sink. 


BTC Cycle





Original Post: https://ift.tt/zpu2AiF