Tuesday 26 November 2019

Energy sector to bounce off cycle bottom into 2020

Low prices fix low prices, and eventually the shorts will be forced to cover and buy back their shares and force prices higher. This sector is 'this close' to such and event.
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Both Hurst cycles and Wyckoff supply and demand action are warming up to the bullish side for the energy sector (XLE).

This is on the back of growing inflation fears. Inflation sourced from wage growth in the US and world wide central bankers (Japan [BOJ], Europe [ECB] and the USA [FED]) printing money at the same time. You should note this has never happened before, all three at the same time, printing.

Yes, the energy sector has suffered from the lower oil prices but soon the shorts will have to judge how much lower energy stocks can go, as you can see the SPDR Energy Etf (XLE) has been unable to get below $50. Demand is present. 

What to do? Watch for significant Wyckoff demand foot prints to see price test upper resistance (sign of strength), and then take action from a strong change of character.    


SPDR Energy (XLE) dominate cycle.


XLE



The energy sector leading commodity and the crude oil dominate cycle.


Oil



If the wider SP500 holds up into the US elections then energy stocks percentage returns could out perform.

Bullish oil fundamentals from Mark Gordon








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