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Date Found: Friday, 12 June 2020, 08:06:43 PM

Comment: Interesting (2)

Date Found: Saturday, 13 June 2020, 12:27:02 AM

Comment: Recession Forecasts Time Frame

Date Found: Monday, 15 June 2020, 11:07:52 PM

Comment: FED money helping data collection stocks (Facebook, Apple,Netflix,Google)

Date Found: Wednesday, 17 June 2020, 10:59:05 PM

Comment: This bond spread says get of stocks NOW!

Date Found: Saturday, 20 June 2020, 08:51:44 PM

Comment: Add . FED buying corporate bonds (JNK,HYG,LQD)..

Date Found: Monday, 22 June 2020, 06:35:50 PM

Comment: Gold following 5 yr Real Yield!

Date Found: Monday, 22 June 2020, 11:35:40 PM

Comment: Real yield again!

Date Found: Wednesday, 24 June 2020, 10:33:20 PM

Comment: Screen-Shot-2020-06-24-at-12.10.52-PM-1024x742

Date Found: Thursday, 25 June 2020, 04:41:14 AM

Comment: ha ha that is low .. $20T, or $40T

Date Found: Friday, 26 June 2020, 10:42:53 PM

Comment: $3,000 gold price no longer target; it’s now $10,000 when Fed's assets crash youtube.com/watch?v=eASLNfftJbg

Date Found: Sunday, 28 June 2020, 12:47:34 AM

Comment: How Enhanced Privacy and Scalability Will Make "Litecoin 2.0" youtu.be/KvukMrDwDIM

Date Found: Sunday, 28 June 2020, 01:15:14 AM

Comment: Add FED balance sheet then you have the difference!

Date Found: Tuesday, 30 June 2020, 04:22:56 AM

Comment: USD will follow GBP devaluation cycle, to avoid deflation (recessions). See the drops post WW1, WW2, 73,82,02,09 (all massive debt peaks)

Date Found: Friday, 03 July 2020, 02:23:29 AM

Comment: Yip 60% correction coming!

Date Found: Friday, 03 July 2020, 07:05:26 PM

Comment: The FED will repeat War Time Finance (Yield Curve Control) to inflate away the debt.. good for gold!

Original Post: https://ift.tt/3fv1nDb

Bitcoin Chart Review

Bitcoin is testing its old all time high.
Bitcoin is not alone as it is at the same party of all risk on trends. Abundant end of year liquidity, add the relief of finishing US elections will see the end of the buyers strike and gains should continue (just like 2016).

Bitcoin is on fourth types of charts held within readtheticker.com, each chart answers different questions.

Charts ...

Cycle charts shows off price and time cycles, with forecasts.

Long term channels, with time and price targets.

Gann Angle chart.

Wyckoff Accumulation chart

Original Post: https://ift.tt/2UUMDEf

Inflation Deflation Cycle Review

Structural change forces the current narrative to change. One such structural change would be a period elevated inflation.


Inflation is a condition which effects many economic models, we only have to review the history books of the 1970's to see how asset classes reacted then and how they may react in the future. 

In periods of inflation there are short periods of deflation, as markets adjust from one theme to another it usually does so with some pain. The short answer: Nothing moves in a straight line and high volatility will shock the most experience investor.  

Long term cycles raise the question, if happened before is it likely to happen again. Price does not always fit the sine wave cycle neatly, but if the cycle is true price will correct to the cycle swing. 

Some cycle to be aware of ... be aware of the different time frames. 


Inflation

CRB Index

Oil Cycle

US Dollar Cycle

SP500 Cycle

Original Post: https://ift.tt/3pACtGR

US Dollar weakness promotes Bitcoin

The US election chaos continues and if Washington can not stimulate the market the ball bounces into the FED court, but in the end it is all about the US dollar.


The euro currency (EURUSD) represents money flowing between European and US Banks. European banks have had a rough time lately, and when they suffer monies flow in to US Banks, thus adding to US dollar strength.

The ETF for European bank stocks is iShares MSCI Europe Financials (EUFN). The chart below shows the EUFN upside down (inverted) compared to the US Dollar (DXY) index, and you can see important pivot points sync between the two (blue arrows). When European banks get a vote of confidence the US dollar is softer, when the European banks lose confidence the US dollar gains strength. 

At the moment EUFN is rising (or with our inverted EUFN chart it is falling), European banks are improving, hence this suggest weakness for the US dollar into Xmas. Just in time for a risk off Xmas rally.

A lower US dollar suggest anti US dollar trades will do well, and the biggest anti US dollar trade in the news at the moment is bitcoin (BTC). We see a nice pattern of accumulation followed by advancing price action into upper resistance, no doubt all time high prices are near.

Below is the Gann Angle and T Theory review of Bitcoin. Late December 2020 to mid January 2021 should see price top out near $20,000 resistance, and most likely build a consolidation pattern as we must expect supply to arrive at resistance and then finally to break out into all time highs. 

There is some discussion of T Theory on bitcoin in this video.

Original Post: https://ift.tt/3na7C1M

SP500 Cycle Review

Many of our cycle methods suggest 2021 will see another major top in stocks. But how far down?
Forecasting how large the correction may be is any ones guess, any thing from 10% to 66% is on the table.

Assuming the US elections do not shock, the built up energy (CAUSE) will release higher asset prices (EFFECT) for 4 to 8 months. The massive generation of COVID US M2 money supply is sitting in bank accounts ready to be leveraged (buy buy buy) by the major Wall Street banks. Yes you can confirm that the global liquidity is high and ready to hunt for a home.


Chart 1: The Kitchin cycle continues to work (notice the margin of error band).

Chart 2: Bartels confirms the above cycle. Notice major market tops and timely intervals.

Original Post: https://ift.tt/323VeZd