Euro to Swing higher in 2022

Currency swings up and down, it looks like the EURUSD is about to swing up.


Hows that?

The recent US FOMC meeting confused many folks, some say it was the most hawkish or most dovish they have heard. In the end the US dollar screamed higher, the hawks won on the day. Yet the days after FED officials are talking down the hawkish effect of the Jan FOMC press conference. 

Some tweets:

FED Governor already easing fears of 6 or 7 rate hike nonsense!

@Hedgeye
KASHKARI: PAUSE IN RATE HIKES IN THE SPRING IS POSSIBLE (April/May)

Yep, one, done, cut. Kashkari wins the award for best Fed Governor. Who would've thought.


@BreakingLive_
FED'S KASHKARI: THE LONG END OF THE YIELD CURVE INDICATES THAT WE ARE LIKELY TO ENTER A PERIOD OF LOWER INFLATION AND GROWTH.

The US FED members jawboning will continue, mostly on political lines. The news to watch this week is European inflation and it is getting hot, mostly due to energy costs screaming higher (natural gas) and it is not going to stop during the European winter. Higher inflation in Europe with sinking US inflation is not priced into the EURUSD, therefore a swing higher is on the table.

Original Post: https://ift.tt/wy493OH5G